Wednesday, February 16, 2011

2011 Inflation Estimate

I stopped doing the inflation estimates because my figures were so far off the "official" estimates, I knew someone was manipulating the figures. Now I have discovered that the official US government estimates are not based on the actual inflation rate, but rather on an target figure so as not to make the inflation rate appear too high.

Hmmm. That doesn't serve the American people in any way whatsoever. The federal government should be stating the facts, not fudging the figures. They should be trusting the American people to make up their own mind on the issues. But if the feds did that, they all may be looking for a new job...

With that in mind, it seems that my inflation estimates were accurate after all. Although there is no real way of establishing the real rate of inflation because of all the fudging of the figures that goes on, my estimate has been accurate within .1-.5% since 1986.

My inflation estimate for 2011 is 11.06%. This is a target and the range of the target is up to 1 point plus or minus. i am using the best data I have access to so we will see at the end of the year how accurate I am.

11.06% is particularly high and indicates a severe crisis in the economy. Debt, unemployment, non-discretionary spending, defense spending, rising gas and food prices, rising prices in commodities and rising prices in basic essentials are all contributing to this crisis. I have a solution but it is a bitter pill to swallow and I am guessing it won't happen.

If we don't resolve these problems - and the only solution is God, not man - we will self-destruct. I don't know if it will happen next week or next year, I don't know if it won't happen for another 100 or 500 years, but the problem is now, we also must find the solution now.

We are destroying the Earth with our pollution and industrial based economy. We are destroying families and lives with our consumer approach to spending. To understand why this is dangerous, you can read my article on Ezinearticles.com "A Quick Lesson in Economics"

We must find a solution and we must find it quickly.

Monday, February 14, 2011

Killing the Snake

Killing the Snake

Defeating the Islamic Extremists

Copyright 2011 by Perry Jones

(A Draft)

A counterinsurgency strategy is based on an understanding of the underlying causes of that insurgency. Attriting the existing members of that insurgency will not defeat the insurgency. Overturning the governments which seem to support or assist insurgency will not defeat the insurgents. In fact, both of these actions may radicalize those individuals not currently aligned or supportive of the insurgents and increase the number of insurgents available to the cause.

A primary underlying cause of insurgency is the ideology of those believing in the goals and aims of that cause. An ideology cannot be defeated with weapons or occupation of “enemy” territory; the weapons in play are ideas, the locations are every nation, city, village and home in the world.

One of the first acts in defeating a conventional enemy is to cut off the enemy’s ability to communicate. This eliminates the ability of the enemy to control and command his elements in the field leading to disorganization and mislocation of those elements. This leaves those elements vulnerable to attack and elimination.

The act of cutting off the insurgent’s ability to communicate may prove effective at a global level; the worldwide leadership, financial support and ideological recruitment on a mass scale would be eliminated. This will not eliminate local leadership, financial support or recruitment. These actions will continue regardless of how many “terrorist” nations are occupied or how many terrorists are killed.

Muslims believe that Islam is a superior ideology, it is not just a religion, it is a way of life which filters and colors every aspect of Islamic society. In the West, democracy is a form of government which separates religion from the state and empowers the individual over their leaders. Western women are not beholden to men, the people are not beholden to their leaders who govern and the faithful are not beholden to their clergy. In Islam, these roles are reversed. Democracy is a bottom up way of life, Islam is a top down form. In democracy, control rests with the people, in Islam, control rests with the leadership. And that is the fundamental difference. It is also the key weakness.

The objective of a leadership is to conserve or expand their power; every contrary belief, ideology or government is a threat to that power and therefore must be countered and vigorously opposed. The radical mullahs and imams are following this role exactly.

Around the world, the extremists are spreading their ideology of hate and vitriol. They shout slogans meant to inspire and enrage. They paint the western world as evil, with the leader of the western world - the United States – as the “great Satan”. With the interconnectedness of the worldwide web, the radical extremists themselves are deeply intertwined as a den of snakes is intertwined. Cutting their communications separates the snakes, but does not kill them.

Over the last several years, we have seen that one strategy to counter terrorism and aggression will be ineffective; to convince the enemy leadership that hostile actions on their part will spell defeat rather than victory. The mullahs and imams are convinced of their eventual success and are willing to die to achieve it. When one is captured or killed, another steps up to take their place, the ideology is not diminished, their war effort does not stumble, it continues essentially unchanged.

We must find another means of leverage rather than the weapons of war and the hypocritical foreign policy we now follow. We must convince the Islamic leadership, all of them, that aggression against the West will spell the end if Islam. Alternatively, we must convince the leaders and the Muslim people that the true nature of Islam seeks to abide in peace and cooperation with other states and religions.

In Nazi Germany, Hitler’s followers and war machine were constrained by geography; the geographical field of battle for radical Islam is the world. With Nazi leadership, there were a few who held power and maintained their ideology. With this power, they convinced their people that their worldview was accurate and true. Using media and mass meetings they informed their people of the ills of their enemies focusing the attention and anger of their people against their enemy fanning the flame of their rage. The mullahs and imams are following this same strategy. Using mosques, madras, mass media and worldwide communications, the radical leadership convinces their people of the evils of the Western world. They convince people that the Western world’s politics is evil, our economy is evil, our culture is evil, our foreign policy is evil, our disparate religions are evil and our liberalization of women and education are evil. These are points which cannot be easily countered as they appear accurate from one point of perspective. We can believe that our culture, politics and religions and the separation of church and state are superior, but from the point of view of the Islamic world, they are not.

Strategies for Defeating the Extremists

The extremists believe they are serving the wishes of Allah, they understand that Allah is the guiding force and principle that drives their ideology. With this single statement, we see the key to defeat the Islamic extremists.

There are two methods we can employ to win this war. Or, perhaps, we can employ both to some degree. The first is that, if the imams and mullahs believe Allah is their guiding force, is encouraging them and approving of their actions, (and they do) we must convince them that Allah is not. We must convince the extremists that Allah is opposed to violence, that Allah is opposed to the forced introduction of Islam into nations and communities that do not currently have an Islamic following and that Allah does not support the denigration of spirit or the continued illiteracy of the individual. And we must convince the extreme mullahs and imams that Allah will punish those who support violence, radicalism and extremism in the name of Islam.

A second method is to educate, employ and advance the common Muslim into an understanding of a world that has no place for violence, destruction or hatred and to convince the everyday Muslim that a personal policy of peace, education, hard work, entrepreneurship and honesty and integrity is the fastest and surest path to assure the achievement of the stated tenets and goals of Islam and of their own and their families benefit.

Islam is a great and peaceful religion which can peacefully and cooperatively coexist with other religions and non-Islam states. This is the heritage and history of Islam and we must remind the Muslim people of this historical legacy of Islam.

In pursuit of method one, we must place doubt in the minds of those who lead and direct the extremist movement. We must position Western trained and/or progressive Islam viewing imams, mullahs and Islamic scholars in two positions in Islamic society. One position is as a key advisor to those who make the decisions. These people must be willing to sacrifice their lives and die at the hands of their own people or Westerners because their cover will be so deep, no one will know who they are. As key advisor, they should relay doubt on decisions and actions of the decision makers by asking “would Allah really approve?,” by quoting surahs from the Quran which show an alternative to that decision, by identifying hadiths and historical actions which will benefit the cause of peace and by the continuous application of doubt about hostile actions and encouragement for peaceful actions.

The second position for these progressive individuals is within their communities. As university professors, doctors, lawyers, school teachers, local authorities, judges et al, the impact these progressive individuals can play in their communities can be substantial. Their influence will not only be contained within their community, but as their message filters out into the general population, it will eventually circle the globe. These progressive individuals must also view themselves as potential martyrs for a more peaceful world. As visible promoters of a progressive Islam within their communities, their safety and security can, perhaps, be addressed but not assured by Western military and intelligence actions.

In either case, identifiable contact between these individuals and any Western military, intelligence or even perhaps any Western person may compromise their position and undermine their influence.

In pursuit of method two, wherever possible, schools for the school age and training centers for those above school age should be established. The world has entered into a new economic period and the old style of economics has failed. A new style of personally integrated economics emphasizing personal financial responsibility must be established. Self sufficiency in homes and communities must be encouraged. Individual entrepreneurship must be encouraged. A job is no longer a guarantee of income and has never been a guarantee of future financial freedom or a source of individual empowerment. Literacy, Islamic and world history, mathematics and creative artistic studies must be encouraged in each school and training center. Islam must be encouraged to embrace the potential of the individual, not to suppress it.

Neither of these two methods will end this war overnight or even in a year or two. Both will take time and perhaps even a decade or more. In the meantime, we must protect our homeland without abrogating our rights, encourage peace without sacrificing our principles and promote change without losing our heritage. The battle will not be easy but it can be won. This war will require persistence and determination perhaps over many years, but we won the Cold War, we can do it again.

Friday, February 11, 2011

Investing in the Future

A Policy for the Next President
This is a work in process and is subject to expansion, change and clarification.

Investing in the Future

Policy of the United States

I. Foreign Policy

II. The Military

III. Domestic Policy

Foreign Policy

1. Nuclear Proliferation – The policy of the United States shall be to prevent states from acquiring nuclear weapons. It is understood that states have a need for self-defense as well as a need for energy. The United States supports the Non-Proliferation Treaty and supports the introduction of nuclear power plants into any nation which deems it necessary to introduce them. The objective of the United States is that the most efficient, green and technologically advanced power plants are desirable. Several states possess nuclear weapons. These weapons must be kept safe and secure from all threats from within and without that nation. If necessary, to protect these weapons from falling into the hands of terrorists or international criminal organizations or entities, the United States will act unilaterally to secure these weapons. Fissionable materials and nuclear waste currently in existence and that which may be generated by future activities must be secured and adequately disposed within the highest international standards.

2. Green Energy – Global warming threatens the existence of humanity. Though scientific surveys and advisers may disagree, it cannot be discounted that carbon gasses in the atmosphere pose a threat to the environment and may already have done nearly irreparable damage. Therefore, the objective of the United States shall be to promote green energy in any way possible within fiscal responsibility. This shall hold forth regardless of the state or organization researching or providing said technology.

3. International Infrastructure - The United States supports 100% complete self-sufficiency in each community, urban area, residence and facility and shall seek, encourage and promote all research and activities to secure such promise. Medical facilities of appropriate scale and educational facilities with programs in consideration of the customs, culture and history of the location shall be maintained but also those which provide education in world history, democratic process and moral and immoral capitalism and other economic forms shall be provided. Individual farming, household water management, facility waste management, home energy sufficiency and other programs as identified which promote and provide individual and household independence and self-sufficiency from centrally organized networks shall be established and researched. Highways, dams, railways and other transportation modes shall be encouraged to promote interdiversity, education, economic progress, the democratic process and facilitate integration of worldwide tolerance.

4. Ocean Fishing – Worldwide fisheries are becoming exhausted. Continued overfishing will deplete the replenishment of fish within their fishing banks. The United States shall support a worldwide rotation of states undertaking fishing within common fisheries. In addition, the United States shall introduce to the United Nations legislation that creates an organization which regulates “ocean ranching.” As in the Old West of the United States, research shall be undertaken until a solution is discovered permitting the operation of fishing ranches worldwide. These will operate by providing safety and security to breeding populations of seagoing creatures, feeding them and then harvesting them at maturity when the cycle will renew.

5. Whaling – Cetaceans are intelligent creatures. No research can be done on any intelligent creature without that creature’s assent. If there is no communication between you and that creature, there is no assent. Whaling is illegal, the United States shall protect to whatever degree whales from being slaughtered by any nation by any means necessary.

6. Piracy – Piracy is an act of war committed by individuals against seagoing vessels and commerce. The United States shall instruct the United States Navy and Marine Corps to maintain a presence in known areas of pirate activity thereby to destroy without recourse any and all those caught in the act of piracy. Those who are captured without being caught in the act of piracy yet are suspected of such actions will be classified as terrorists.

7. Terrorist Prisoners – Terrorist prisoners are prisoners of war and will be detained under the auspices of the Geneva Convention with all the rights granted thereto with certain exceptions. The exception is that the ideology of terrorism is a permanent cause. Releasing any terrorist prisoner back into the mainstream of life will only yield future acts of terrorism by that individual. Therefore, the United States shall seek provision from the United Nations to treat all terrorist prisoners as war criminals which, if convicted, shall bear the penalty of life or at minimum life under incarceration. Should the United Nations or other international body fail in its obligation to classify these prisoners as war criminals and to exact the suggested penalty, the United States retains the right to act unilaterally within these guidelines with all terrorist prisoners it holds.

8. The Internet – The objective of the United States is a worldwide internet free of governmental restriction or control of any kind by any nation. An unfettered, free and open internet in each and every country is the objective of the United States. As such an unfettered, free internet will provide for the illegal action of individuals exploiting children, pornography, identity or monetary theft and fraud or crimes against which a nation may hold, the United States shall promote the ability of each state to investigate, capture and prosecute each activity as that state shall deem fit. The restriction of the internet is not permissible in the view of the United States and the United States shall actively pursue the openness and freedom of the internet in each and every state, but also encourage each state to justly uphold and enforce its own laws within international stated parameters.

9. Economics –

a. A global economy cannot be denied. The reality of each state intertwined economically with all others is a current and future state. The objective of the United States is to encourage the growth in the economy of each nation and state, the promotion and introduction of capitalism to each nation of the world at a time and manner suitable for that nation and the establishment of capitalism unique to the culture, history and customs of that state.

b. The immorality of uncontrolled capitalism cannot be denied as the Robber Barons of the United States 19th and early 20th centuries attest and as the Enron’s, Bernie Madoff’s and Wall Street bonuses at the expense of Main Street America of current times present. The United States shall propose new legislation both internationally and domestically which bears real teeth for any grievance of illegality. This proposal shall include - upon complaint, investigation, justification and warrant - immediate seizure and impoundment of all a corporation’s assets and facilities, immediate cessation of all activities, immediate imprisonment of all executives and replacement of executives with federal agents thoroughly trained and certified in corporate management and operations. Executives shall be released from imprisonment only upon completion of filing of appropriate charges and presentment of bail as ordered. Corporations so seized shall be returned to operations under federal management as soon as conditions permit but within 24 to 48 hours whenever possible. Future disposition of such corporations shall remit to legislation and may include continued operations with no further action, sell-off of assets or other restructuring as may be determined.

10. Capitalism – A new form of capitalism must be devised. The capitalism of the past has failed. The greed and immorality inherent within the human heart bears fruition within a capitalist (or even socialist, fascist or other) system. A prosumer, individual approach to financial capability must be established. The United States shall seek to establish in each worldwide urban area a school of capitalism that teaches this new form of capitalism to all students. This new form of capitalism must take morality, spirituality, individualism and care for others, amongst other items, into consideration. Individual savings, individual self-employment, individual financial independence, individual self-sufficiency and individual green living are all tenets of the new capitalism.

a. World Bank and IMF – The World Bank and the International Monetary Fund are prime examples of the misdirection of the old style of capitalism. These institutions must be restructured to secure true rewards for the people of the area in which economic progress and peaceful modernization is the objective. This restructuring must include the tenets of the new capitalism.

11. Democracy – The policy of the United States is to promote and encourage democracy in each and every nation. The mode of democracy must be unique to that state with consideration of the culture, history and customs of the people of that state. The United States shall promote the peaceful integration of democracy within each state at a rate that state shall deem appropriate. The United States shall not seek to enforce or require any state to accept the United States brand of democracy except that the rights of each person shall be respected as well as the one person, one vote, openness of the democratic process, transparency of government and freedom of political parties philosophy of democracy shall be maintained.

12. War Policy –

a. The United States shall herewith not intervene overtly or covertly in the internal affairs of any state which adheres to internationally accepted norms of freedom and democracy. The United States shall not enter into war with any state without hostile action from that state. Hostile action may include, but is not restricted to, nation-state hostilities, state-sponsored terrorism or individual or group terrorism or hostilities. The United States will respond to protect and preserve the lives, rights, assets and freedoms of American citizens in any state.

b. The Strategy of Peace – This initiative is the modus operandi of the United States; to avert war, we must prepare for war; to ensure peace, we must be assertive in our policies, to be a leader, we must be adamant in our principles. We will conduct our international relations in accordance with this policy as it presents an understanding of the human control of nation-state and group hostile actions committed upon others. To secure peace, the United States must not only be assertive, it must also understand the mind of those who would call for war or aggression against the United States or its citizens.

13. Intelligence Policy – To prevent war, the United States must be prepared for war. To prepare for war appropriately requires that the United States secure accurate information regarding the actions and plans of any potential adversary. This accurate information may be gathered in modes which the United States deems necessary and appropriate to achieve its goals including that of covert action and covert surveillance. Any and all information gathered must remain secure and classified for a sanctioned interval of time.

14. Natural Resources – Natural resources are a worldwide commodity controlled by a state or several states. The right of each state to control its commodities as it sees fit within international norms shall not be restricted. United States policy shall be to allow nation-state control and administration of its natural resources vis-a-vis such management does not adversely affect world affairs or economic progress.

15. International Space Command – The United States shall seek an International Space Command organized under the auspices of the United Nations to provide for the training, access and exploration of space for all nations. Planet Earth is becoming overcrowded and resources are depleting while an inexhaustible supply of resources and living space exists just a few hundred kilometers overhead. The peaceful and green exploration and development of space shall be the goal and purpose of this organization. Headquarters of the International Space Command will be made available, perhaps utilizing the former Presidio of San Francisco.

16. Foreign Policy – The United States does not exist in a unilateral world. A global, multi-polar world has grown all around the United States and the United States must seize the initiative to be the leader of the global community. This requires commitment to international norms of behavior, adherence to the rights and principles of the Constitution and the Declaration of Independence and establishing open lines of communication with allies, friends and foes alike. No longer will the United States support dictators and totalitarian regimes in countries whose sole benefit to the United States is their resources, strategic position or influence with their neighbors. Support for any such states or leaders, whether overt or covert, shall be terminated.

17. Russia – The United States policy is to establish and maintain Russia as a true, strong and valuable ally of the United States.

18. Vietnam – We seek a raproachment with Vietnam. To serve that end, the United States shall initiate and promote continued communications with the Vietnam government, joint operations with its military and an engagement with the commerce and democratic process of the people of Vietnam. The United States shall upon request, station troops along the Vietnam-Chinese border to preserve the territorial integrity of the state of Vietnam. The objective of the United States is a peaceful, open Vietnam with a movement toward the new capitalism and democratic process.

19. Cuba – Fidel Castro has stated that the communist form of economics has failed although the Revolution lives on. The Revolution that Fidel speaks of is that of the immoral and greed of the old (current) capitalist model.

20. China – China is a strong and stable ally in East Asia. We must find ways of cultivating that relationship while maintaining our security and the security of other nations and territories in the area.

a. With this in mind however, we note the increasing aggressiveness and imperialist tendencies of China. The United States will seek to thwart these tendencies in ways that promote peace, liberty and security of the region while protecting and enhancing the natural rights of all people. We will applaud every effort of China to expand and extend democracy in their own land and we will condemn every reversal or diminution of this. We fully expect China will apply this same policy to the United States.

b. Tibet: The Office of the President of the United States privately acknowledges that Tibet has been part of China for many hundreds of years. We have no idea where the propaganda of a free Tibet originated or what purpose it serves. Having said that, we support the Dalai Lama in his efforts at peace and stability and for the integration of Tibet into the world community. Publicly, the United States will support the call of a free Tibet but shall not act to make this a reality, except in meetings with the exiled Tibetan government headed by the Dalai Lama.

c. Stealth: We hereby acknowledge that China possesses stealth technology that may equal or exceed the United States’ own stealth capabilities. We understand that China is in possession of stealth missiles, aircraft and submarines the United States cannot currently detect. Any intrusion into United States, Canadian or Mexican airspace or any violation of territorial integrity, whether land or sea, of any three, will be considered an act of war and specific measures to counter said threat shall be undertaken.

d. Commandos: Chinese commandos, special operations forces and military, paramilitary or terrorist personnel violating the airspace or assuming a presence on the ground or sea within the United States, Canada or Mexico will be considered an act of war. The United States hereby authorizes the use of lethal force. After the first warning and return of surviving prisoners to China, no prisoners shall be taken.

e. Any attack or destruction of United States equipment, materials, disruption of supplies or death of United States citizens whether military or civilian whether in or over the United States or territories or allies thereof or any third country or international or spatial region where the United States maintains a presence, will be countered with equivalent and direct force.

f. Taiwan: The United States is a friend and ally of Taiwan. Any threat to Taiwan by China will be countered, any attack will be countered and every attempt to thwart the special relationship the United States maintains with Taiwan will be countered. If China wants Taiwan, they must fight us for it.

g. Pacific Friends and Allies: The territories of the United States and the friends and allies of the United States throughout the Pacific and Indian Ocean region are under the military protection of the United States.

h. Freedom of Religion/Christianity: The United States seeks to promote freedom of religion within China. The assault of churches and believers, destruction of churches and meeting centers, arrest, detention and torture of attendees at services has been duly noted. The United States condemns such action. Upon request and whenever possible, the United States will support and donate materials, funds and supplies to the establishment and maintenance of any religious center or organization so requesting.

i. Freedom of Assembly/Protest/Demonstration/Redress: The right of any and all human beings to meet and protest, demonstrate for or against a cause or their government to petition their government or elected or public figures for redress of grievances, to seek equitable justice by or from their government or public officials and to associate with one another shall not be denied, prohibited, interfered with or prevented by China, as assessed by the United states or appropriate world body, and will not be condoned by the United States and may be met with an action of condemnation, sanctions or other action as is deemed necessary and appropriate by the United States.

j. Freedom of Speech/Press/Internet: China’s sometimes subtle and sometimes open and aggressiveness hostile action against its own citizens seeking these rights and the use of these measures has been noted. The United States shall not condone any action when observed.

k. Cyber Warfare: The increasingly aggressiveness and hostile actions by China against the United States and the world community has been duly noted. Each and every hostile action by China in the cybersphere shall be considered an act of war and countered with equal force.


21. North Korea – North Korea is waiting for reunification. We must push for that reunification with South Korea as soon as possible. The United States will seek to restrain and prevent North Korea from violating the peace, liberty or security of its neighbors or of the world.

22. Japan – Our ally Japan has been aligned with the US and with US interests since the end of World War 2. Following a carefully executed economic policy with the quality control standards of W. Edward Deming and a manufacturing process copied from the US, Japan has been a shining example of what many nations can aspire to. Japan’s economy is uniquely Japanese, highly capitalistic and free flowing. Although there are problems, there are no problems which the Japanese cannot handle on their own.

23. Asia – The nations of East and South Asia are the fastest growing economies of the world. Each uniquely their own, yet each is a member of the growing world community. We must assure the unfettered progress, growth and integrity of each of these while it lives in peace with its neighbors, its own population enjoys the enhanced wealth of a world economy and the world benefits from the culturally diverse natures of each entity.

24. Europe – The nations of Europe are the ancestral home for the vast majority of Americans. The United States is close allies with or friendly with nearly all nations of Europe. The nations of Europe are all generally democracies, each with their own particular flavor of democracy.

25. Africa – Africa is a great, historic and beautiful continent of majestic scenery, rich history and enthralling culture. Many nations exist on the African continent, some of which are friends or allies with the United States and some of which are not. Each nation shall be treated in due measure with the full consideration of its relationship with its people, its role on the world stage and its association with the United States.


Investing in the Future

A Policy for the Next President
This is a work in process and subject to change, expansion and clarification.


The Military

1. Size – the size of the American military is excessive. The budget of the United States military equals or exceeds the arms expenditures of all other nations combined. Therefore, a 5% reduction in military spending each year for five years will be established. This budgetary decrease may be terminated or reversed at any time as world affairs may require. It is suggested that of this reduction, 5% be transferred to the space program, 5% to infrastructure reconstruction and maintenance, 5% to debt reduction and 5% to education, half of which shall go to tuition scholarships and half to identify the world’s leading nations in education and send American teachers to attend, observe and be certified in the teaching methods of those nations. Upon their return to the United States after certification, these teachers shall disperse their educational reforms to their constituent schools, local, national or international bodies as they see fit.

2. Objective – The objective of the American military establishment is first and foremost, to protect the people and territory of the United States from all enemies, to secure and protect international lines of communication and commerce for all nations, to present American influence and provide for the security of allies and friends, to project American military force and power and provide for the successful conclusion of any engagement. When necessary, the military shall fight to preserve these tenets but only when the endgame is clearly defined, the necessary forces are assembled, adequately trained and equipped, senior military commanders are provided with clear instruction as to the politics and endgame and objectives and political leaders free the military to commit to battle and complete the war without micromanagement from the political establishment.

3. Maritime Policy – The United States Navy shall be forward deployed and actively engaged. The United States Navy retains a long tradition of honor and bravery and this tradition shall be preserved and maintained. The sea forces of the United States are generally considered the first arm of the United States to present the presence and power of the United States in areas where such presence and power are deemed necessary by the political arm of the United States. To this end, the United States Navy and US Marine Corps must receive the necessary funds to secure adequate equipment, supply and training of its forces capable of meeting and defeating any conceivable threat within its purview of action and theater of operations.

a. Piracy – The anti-piracy role of the United States has been presented. The United States Navy and Marine Corps shall implement this policy and secure the objectives of this policy as stated.

4. Terrorism – The terrorist policy of the United States has also been presented. It is likely that the United States Army and/or Air Force will take precedence in these operations. Adequate funding to secure the objectives as stated must be provided.

5. United States Space Force – A United States Space Force shall be established to protect the right of the United States and its citizens and of all nations and entities the freedom of space operations as they see fit. No entity or nation has the right to adversely affect the operations of any other organization or entity in the conduct of its space affairs.


Investing in the Future

A Policy for the Next President
This is a work in process and subject to clarification, expansion and change.

Domestic Policy

1. Social Security – Social Security is the elephant in the room no one talks about, it also the 800 pound gorilla that is eating everything in our kitchen. Along with Medicare and Medicaid, Social Security consumes the largest portion of the federal budget. This cost to the federal government must be reduced while retaining the level of benefits due to current and future generations.

a. The stock market is a varying market that has no place in providing assurance for future generations.

b. A 40 year plan should be adopted. Those just entering the work force and those with over 39 years remaining to retirement should have their funds dedicated to other sources. Those who have less than one year to retirement will have no change to their apportionment or benefits. Between 39 years and 1 year a slope of funding apportionment should be adopted. Wealth is generated not from the stock market but by investing in profitable investments. An investment must pay dividends – whether in the form of dividends, royalties, license or patent fees, copyright fees, rents or income from income trusts. The funds being contributed to the Social Security trust fund should be invested in these investments which pay a profit from day one.

2. Federal Reserve and Monetary Policy – The Federal Reserve shall be disbanded. Monies received as interest by the member banks of the Federal Reserve shall immediately be returned to the people of the United States by deposit into the United States Treasury. The US Mint shall print, coin and regulate all future monies of the United States. An audit of the Federal Reserve shall be conducted to ascertain the allocation of funds received from the TARP Program. (the Federal bailout). All said funds will be returned to the American people.

a. Gross Domestic Product – The GDP measures the wrong items. By measuring the mere exchange of goods and services we lose sight of the morals, ethics and humanity involved in each decision. There is no such thing as “it’s not personal, it’s just business”, everything is personal when it’s your job, your home, your paycheck or your family. We must initiate a dialogue that will create a real world index which measures a green world – educational status of our children and schools, volunteerism, preservation of farmlands, parks and natural areas, the number and degree of self sufficient communities and homes, innovation, entrepreneurship and new successful businesses. We must identify green paths to energy, dusting off old methods for new ideas, freeing the past to revitalize the future, issue patents and copyright on works and processes that work yet may operate beyond our simple understanding of today’s science. The success of America’s future depends on the foundations of the past, the institutions of today and the educational, entrepreneurial and innovative initiatives of the future. To stand idly by while other nations pass us in every conceivable measure is un-American. The future is ours to take, but we must grasp it today. Should we fail to act, should we fail to grasp, should we fail to hold on tightly, the world will pass us by and America herself will fall becoming just so much more dust in the dustbin of history.

3. Domestic Policy – We stand upon the threshold of tomorrow and we have a choice to make. We can choose destruction or we can choose life. That is the clearest and most realistic of all possibilities we face. There will be those who contend that this is wrong, that there is plenty of time, that there are numerous choices. But that is a delusion. There may be many variations within our choice, but our primary choices remain the same, choose destruction or choose life. In choosing death, all we must do is nothing. We are a train hurtling along such a path today and we are nearly out of track. To choose life means to change everything. As Winston Churchill once said, there will be “blood, sweat and tears.” We must shift from a consuming mentality to a prosuming mentality. We must shift from a credit economy to a savings economy. We must shift from instant gratification to delayed gratification. We must shift from a destructive ecology to a green ecology. To the greatest extent possible, each community and each home within that community must become self sufficient in its energy, food and water needs. We must develop ways of seeing the future that are different from the ways we have traveled in the past.

Tuesday, February 01, 2011

Geopolitics and People's Rights

Egypt is a representation of what happens when the US follows the expedient path of geopolitics rather than the hard path of principles and rights. The expedient path only serves (and enriches) those in power while the hard path of social justice allows self-determination by the people. The revolution in Egypt could wash over such US allies as Jordan, Saudi Arabia and Kuwait. By supporting despotic regimes, we lose the support of the people who will, eventually, claim their rights and turn against the US.

Storms and Mideast Protests

Storms and MidEast Protests
A Speculative Correlation
By Perry Jones
February 1, 2011

Several months back, radar images on the National Weather Service site showed strange and large toroidal shapes over the Texas panhandle. They continued off and on for a period of several weeks. All were very hot with temperatures of around 300 degrees. One had a temperature in excess of 500 degrees.

To me, this was a clear indication of someone messing with the weather. At the time I had no idea what a huge, hot donut would do. I think we now have the answer.

The recent chain of storms, which does not appear to ending, originates in this exact region where the donut shapes appeared over the summer and fall. The internal heat of these toroids seems to be the fuel which is producing this spate of storms that has swept across the mid and eastern US. In the northeast, more snow has fallen in one month in some places than the average for a year.

Although some are attributing this to global warming (with which I more or less agree), I feel this unending train of storms is being manipulated into being - perhaps by the HAARPS or some other mechanism or device. The position of the jet stream is forcing arctic air from Canada into the US, which, colliding with the warm air produced by these toroids yields this chain of "super-storms". The jet stream itself is being held in place by a high pressure area over Greenland. This high also seems to be artificially induced, and may be held in place by HAARPS or some other unknown method.

What would be the purpose of this? I can only speculate, but I feel one answer may be to drain the already strained budgets of the municipalities and states of the east coast. It also may be to degrade the infrastructure or to undermine commerce by preventing people from going to work. When people don't go to work, they don't get paid, businesses lose money and cities and states receive less taxes. Because the majority of US people, business and finances are nested in this area, the impact of strained budgets, loss of personal income and reduced taxes may push the US into a double dip depression or perhaps another Great Depression.

So how does this correlate with all the turmoil in the MidEast?

I can certainly understand the anger and frustration of the people in this area who have suffered under despotic regimes for so long. They yearn for freedom and liberty as do all people. The dictators who lead their nations have crushed political dissent, limited freedom and communication in some states and tortured and executed thousands who oppose their rule. The anger of the people is understandable.
However, the actions of the leaders, Hosni Mubarak of Egypt and King Abdullah II of Jordan, seem to be intentionally acts to further provoke the people. In both countries, the people are crying out for freedom and an end to despotic rule. In both countries, the people want a government of the people, by the people, for the people. In both countries, the people want a completely new government with the ouster of the heads of each country the key goal of the people.

Yet, in both countries, the leaders have only dismissed the current government and replaced it with men who seem even more hardline than their predecessors. In both countries, the new second in command is either a former intelligence officer who was responsible for ruthlessly crushing the opposition or a military officer who did the same.

This does not seem like a move intended to placate the demonstrators. Rather, it seems like an intentional provocation. And, I believe it is.
Or at least could be. In Egypt, the Army (340,000 active troops) has sided with the people while the police (330,000 police) has sided with the government. Continued provocations on the part of Mubarak could lead to violence. The people, and perhaps the Army, may decide to take things into their hands in a new way by using violence to achieve their ends. With the police and Army fairly balanced, any hostilities by either side could plunge Egypt into civil war. Should Egypt descend into civil war this could destabilize the whole region. Libya and perhaps the Sudan or Ethiopia could also destabilize with riots in the streets and the people demanding the ouster of their leaders.

The nations of the Arabian peninsula would also be at risk. Saudi Arabia - our primary oil supplier - Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain - headquarters of the US Fifth Fleet - the UAE and Oman may all be at risk. All are key oil producers supplying much of the oil for the rest of the world. If these nations destabilize into riots and turmoil, the price of oil will easily reach $100 a barrel. Combined with the storms in the US and Australia (did I mention the chain of storms in Australia?), the entire world would be plunged into a Great Depression unlike the world has ever seen. The last several years in the US - with our near 10% unemployment, over 1 million foreclosed homes and a mass shift of a large part of the middle class into poverty - would all seem like "The Good Old Days".

If Jordan should plunge into civil war, the destabilization of all the nations of the Mideast would be a near certainty. This could require outside intervention to stem the turmoil and only two forces have the capability to provide that stability: NATO and the US Army. Neither force would be welcomed in the area. But, barring some internal resolution, some nation or force will have to step into the picture. If not a western force, then Iran almost certainly will and that simply cannot be allowed.

If Iran were to step into the picture, that would place Iran in control of the majority of the world's oil supplies. Although we are slowly moving toward and hoping and planning for a transition to a green economy, that simply will not happen fast enough to prevent destruction of the world economy if any of the preceding occurs.

Another possible force which could intervene in the Mideast would be a United Nations Force, but such a force does not yet exist in the numbers required to provide stability to the region. However, if necessary, the United Nations may create such a force.

So, with all the storms and the turmoil in the Mideast, the likely seems one of the most probable scenarios. Snowstorms in the northeast financial centers will sap the already overstretched budgets of states and municipalities in those areas. This would lead to a double dip recession in the US. Turmoil in the Mideast raises the price of oil to astronomical levels forcing the world into an economic decline. The Great Recession in the US evolves into another Great Depression. This spreads around the world forcing nearly every nation into great distress. At this point, resolutions may be provided for this crisis, including the introduction of a one world currency. Other measures would also be introduced, perhaps that of consolidating Egypt, Libya and either Ethiopia or the Sudan into a regional command under the auspices of the United Nations or a Mideast command. This regional command may include all the nations of the Mideast.

Another possibility is this. If a regional command were to be established that includes all the major oil producing nations of the Mideast and with Mexico (another world oil producer) already descending into civil war, (Oh, you didn't hear about that?) and if this regional command were to be placed under the actual or de facto command of the US, that would place China's oil supplies in jeopardy. The US would then have the power to dictate Chinese policy by holding its oil hostage.

Obviously, China would not accept this. To ensure its oil supplies, China may then roll its tanks across the Euphrates and into the Mideast. Should this occur, this would clearly set off a world war.

The best case scenario looks a little like this. The storms will eventually end. People will go back to work. The economy will recover over the course of the spring. The turmoil in the Mideast will settle down and the people there will be happy with their new governments. Oil prices will go down. Although things don't quite go back to the way they used to be, they will come close and everyone will live happily ever after. If only.
What I have represented is two opposite poles. The reality of the situation will probably work out to be something between those two extremes. But the best case scenario is not only unlikely, it is impossible. The United States is already bankrupt, Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, trillions of dollars in stimulus and trillions spent on unnecessary wars have drained the monetary reserves of the United States beyond the breaking point. It is already too late (unless we make a Radical change), it's just that no one has told us yet. The only way out is to reduce the military budget annually, privatize Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid and begin a new era of truly bipartisan politics on Capitol Hills. But I feel that is the least likely scenario of all. What do you think?

The reason we must privatize Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid is simple. Their growth rate as a percentage of the national budget is simply unsustainable. It will be only a matter of several years that these programs will require 100% of the US budget. Those who tell you otherwise are either outright lying, politicking or simply blind to the truth. Don't let them deceive you.

Those who say we must not allow Social Security to be privatized by putting it into the stock market are correct. The stock market is too volatile and unpredictable. You could have a million dollars in your account one day and be wiped out the other. But there is a way to privatize Social Security that would A. stimulate the US economy, B. be safe and C. provide at least the same amount (if not more) benefits than participants are now currently receiving.

This method would be to create a trust for each individual. Their social security payments would be placed into these accounts. The money in these accounts would be nontaxable until withdrawn. The trustee of each account would invest the funds of each account into safe, passive income investments. These investments would be required to pay a minimum of 7.5% a year in yield. There are many such investments of this nature ranging from asset-backed securities to oil and gas trusts to REIT's, BDC's and ETF's. You can find the article I wrote about these passive income investments online under my name. I have identified over 20 passive income investments. (part 1) Part 2

Many of my advisors believe the US has passed the point of no return. Some of them have fled the country. There are groups of Christians as well as militia groups who have built camps in the mountains far away from civilization waiting for the day when it all comes down. They also believe it is too late. I know we have a very limited time remaining to turn things around and that turn around will require a dramatic change in the lifestyles of all Americans. That is unlikely to occur, but I also believe that, to God, all things are possible.