Jones Inflation Estimate for 2006
Using an algorithm I developed approximately 1986, I have prepared an estimate for the 2006 rate of inflation.
I'm projecting a target rate of inflation of 2.45%. Of course, this will depend on vagaries in the economy and world economic-political developments.
This year my algorithm has disclosed a broad range of .67 to 5.74, (first time ever for such a broad range) although the target range remains essentially unchanged at 2.124 to 2.545.
This years' broad range indicates an underlying instability in the world economic and geopolitical situation. Continuing restructuring in the industrialized nations, continuing prospects for war, mass layoffs in the United States, fluctuations in commodities, oil prices and gold prices all converge at this point in history to present the widest range in inflation estimates to date.
As usual, only time will tell, but my estimated rate has been accurate every year within 1/10 of a percent since 1986 when I developed this algorithm.
Thursday, February 23, 2006
Friday, February 10, 2006
To Lie, To Cheat, To Steal
The State of the Union Address has come and gone. Nothing new was stated, nothing new has been done, it's all just the same old same old. Pretty much par for this Administration, the worst since Carter.
Mr. Bush continues to lie at every chance he gets while Cheney and Rumsfeld and others contnue to cheat and steal. Lie, cheat and steal seems to be the mantra of this Administration and those who speak the truth are vilified, denounced and mocked. Never has there been an Administration as evil or as vindictive as this Bush Administration.
The Rush for War
Several months before Bush was elected, my sources reported to me that a decision had been made to invade Iraq. Only the confirmation of Bush by the American people would be needed to cement and implement this decision.
On the run up to war, Bush and his cronies in the White House selected only those intelligence estimates which supported their views, dismissing the majority of reports which indicated that there was no evidence of weapons of mass destruction, that the Iraqi people would turn on American soldiers and that the presence of American forces would serve as a lightning rod for Muslims throughout the region.
Under orders from his handlers - which include Cheney - Bush made the case for war and committed the American nation to a war solely to line the pockets of those who brought Bush into power.
Our sons and daughters are dying for no other reasons than oil and money and power. Perhaps the oldest reasons in history. Bush can find no money for the poor, but he can find billions to fight a war he initiated, the money of which circles around into the coffers of such organizations as Halliburton and others.
We think terrorists attacked the World Trade Center, but 5 months before the attack my sources insisted that a major disaster of just such a nature was far advanced in planning by the DC gang and orders transmitted from Washington to Saudi Arabia and finally northward into the deserts and mountains of Afghanistan and Pakistan.
I read a report in May of 2001 of how the US had to convince the American people to invade the nations of the Mideast in order to protect powerful American interests from losing the oil fields to others. A probable course was to initiate an attack upon esteemed American institutions in order to rally the American people around the President while he simultaneously stripped those same people of their liberty and their rights.
We have seen how effective this tactic was. The President and his handlers achieved everything they wanted at the cost of just a few thousand American lives.
Bush and Abramoff
My sources now report that Bush has visited with Abramoff at least 7 or 8 times while the President states he doesn't know the man. But my sources indicate that Bush even interrupted a meeting to take an urgent call from Abramoff.
To lie, to cheat, to steal. This is the slogan of the White House.
Fundamental Christians rally around Bush as one of them, deceived by Bush and his handlers, not realizing Bush is only using them and cares nothing for God or religion.
Every word Bush speaks is suspect. Every move he makes is deceptive. Every thought he thinks is evil.
Although Kerry carried Ohio by approximately 250,000 votes, Bush was declared the winner.
To lie, to cheat, to steal. The White House and those in power will do anything to retain and expand their hold on power, oil and money. They see nothing wrong with sending thousands of our sons and daughters to die in a war they themselves started. Now Halliburton has received a 485 million dollar federal contract to build a series of prison camps and detention centers across the United States. What are they up to now?
To lie, to cheat, to steal. This is the mantra of the people in power. This is the slogan of Bush and his handlers. These are the words they live by and their every action confirms this.
Mr. Bush continues to lie at every chance he gets while Cheney and Rumsfeld and others contnue to cheat and steal. Lie, cheat and steal seems to be the mantra of this Administration and those who speak the truth are vilified, denounced and mocked. Never has there been an Administration as evil or as vindictive as this Bush Administration.
The Rush for War
Several months before Bush was elected, my sources reported to me that a decision had been made to invade Iraq. Only the confirmation of Bush by the American people would be needed to cement and implement this decision.
On the run up to war, Bush and his cronies in the White House selected only those intelligence estimates which supported their views, dismissing the majority of reports which indicated that there was no evidence of weapons of mass destruction, that the Iraqi people would turn on American soldiers and that the presence of American forces would serve as a lightning rod for Muslims throughout the region.
Under orders from his handlers - which include Cheney - Bush made the case for war and committed the American nation to a war solely to line the pockets of those who brought Bush into power.
Our sons and daughters are dying for no other reasons than oil and money and power. Perhaps the oldest reasons in history. Bush can find no money for the poor, but he can find billions to fight a war he initiated, the money of which circles around into the coffers of such organizations as Halliburton and others.
We think terrorists attacked the World Trade Center, but 5 months before the attack my sources insisted that a major disaster of just such a nature was far advanced in planning by the DC gang and orders transmitted from Washington to Saudi Arabia and finally northward into the deserts and mountains of Afghanistan and Pakistan.
I read a report in May of 2001 of how the US had to convince the American people to invade the nations of the Mideast in order to protect powerful American interests from losing the oil fields to others. A probable course was to initiate an attack upon esteemed American institutions in order to rally the American people around the President while he simultaneously stripped those same people of their liberty and their rights.
We have seen how effective this tactic was. The President and his handlers achieved everything they wanted at the cost of just a few thousand American lives.
Bush and Abramoff
My sources now report that Bush has visited with Abramoff at least 7 or 8 times while the President states he doesn't know the man. But my sources indicate that Bush even interrupted a meeting to take an urgent call from Abramoff.
To lie, to cheat, to steal. This is the slogan of the White House.
Fundamental Christians rally around Bush as one of them, deceived by Bush and his handlers, not realizing Bush is only using them and cares nothing for God or religion.
Every word Bush speaks is suspect. Every move he makes is deceptive. Every thought he thinks is evil.
Although Kerry carried Ohio by approximately 250,000 votes, Bush was declared the winner.
To lie, to cheat, to steal. The White House and those in power will do anything to retain and expand their hold on power, oil and money. They see nothing wrong with sending thousands of our sons and daughters to die in a war they themselves started. Now Halliburton has received a 485 million dollar federal contract to build a series of prison camps and detention centers across the United States. What are they up to now?
To lie, to cheat, to steal. This is the mantra of the people in power. This is the slogan of Bush and his handlers. These are the words they live by and their every action confirms this.
Friday, February 03, 2006
"I've Been Outsourced!" Now What?
Your job is not secure.
Centuries ago - or was it the 1990's? - we anticipated that many US manufacturing jobs would outsource to Asia or other 3rd world countries.
This has occured. What we didn't expect was that just a few years later, IT/high tech jobes would follow.
Economists and career consultants all expected that the US would retain its high tech careers with many of those workers displaced and out of work due to outsourcing would retrain and find employment in the IT sector.
It didn't happen that way.
Today thousands of high tech jobs are themselves outsourcing to places like India and China. Even several formerly East Bloc nations of Eastern Europe are capturing high tech work.
With employees in India and China receiving just $5000 a year in salary for a high tech position, the US simply cannot compete - especially when those same Indian and Chinese employees hold advanced degrees from such US institutions as Harvard, MIT, Stanford and Princeton.
You're standing on shaky ground if you plan on retiring in your current job if it's in a high tech or manufacturing field. In fact, it's more like standing on quicksand, because the reality seems to be not "if" that job will disappear but "when."
So what can you do?Start your own business.
It doesn't have be a Fortune 500 company. It doesn't have to have acres of office space and 5000 employees. All it needs is you.
Doing this will require a revolution in the way Americans view themselves vis-a-vis work. Yesterday you could count on some big company cradling you from graduation to retirement, protecting you from all the ins and outs, intricacies and responsibility in earning a profit.
You simply did not need to know that.
But things have changed.
Now we have to relearn how work is done.
Creativity, fast thinking, bias for action and the ability to communicate are all essentials in the new fastpaced global economy.
You don't need to do it all yourself - in fact, you shouldn't. But you do need to communicate to others what you can't or won't do and partner with those who understand what you (your business) needs and can provide the skills and abilities you can't.
Maybe you will have a one-man or one-woman operation outsourcing your work to those Indian and Chinese employees. Maybe you will have just a few employees in the US and Europe all connected by the internet videoconferencing by web, cell phone and iPod or similar devices with your manufacturing or research or software development center in Shanghai, New Delhi or Beijing.
Now is the perfect time to figure out what makes you the happiest doing and creates the highest profit.
For more details about how you can choose to be self-employed and receive a good living go to http://how2getrich.bravehost.com/worklive1.html
The biggest change in how we perceive work lies in our own minds. That's also the location to all of our barriers to being successfully self-employed.
We need to learn to think "outside the box." The box is the way we have learned to think and work from birth. We have to rethink all our biases and opinions about working and discover ways of releasing our creativity.
The world is filled with abundance and there is enough to go around for everyone.Don't believe in the old dogmatic lies of the industrial revolution. Your financial security depends on your ability to find out what makes you the happiest and then identifying a path within that field that will make you financially independent. Your financial security does not depend on some company that gives you a paycheck a couple of times a month.
Your financial security depends on your ability to take an idea germinated in your own mind and then nurturing that idea into a profitable enterprise for yourself.
Yes, that requires work, courage and a whole new way of thinking. But we have no other choice.
We can perceive the advent of the global economy as a great threat or we can perceive it as extraordinarily liberating.
It's all just a choice - a perception.
Choose to be free. Start your own home-based business.
Centuries ago - or was it the 1990's? - we anticipated that many US manufacturing jobs would outsource to Asia or other 3rd world countries.
This has occured. What we didn't expect was that just a few years later, IT/high tech jobes would follow.
Economists and career consultants all expected that the US would retain its high tech careers with many of those workers displaced and out of work due to outsourcing would retrain and find employment in the IT sector.
It didn't happen that way.
Today thousands of high tech jobs are themselves outsourcing to places like India and China. Even several formerly East Bloc nations of Eastern Europe are capturing high tech work.
With employees in India and China receiving just $5000 a year in salary for a high tech position, the US simply cannot compete - especially when those same Indian and Chinese employees hold advanced degrees from such US institutions as Harvard, MIT, Stanford and Princeton.
You're standing on shaky ground if you plan on retiring in your current job if it's in a high tech or manufacturing field. In fact, it's more like standing on quicksand, because the reality seems to be not "if" that job will disappear but "when."
So what can you do?Start your own business.
It doesn't have be a Fortune 500 company. It doesn't have to have acres of office space and 5000 employees. All it needs is you.
Doing this will require a revolution in the way Americans view themselves vis-a-vis work. Yesterday you could count on some big company cradling you from graduation to retirement, protecting you from all the ins and outs, intricacies and responsibility in earning a profit.
You simply did not need to know that.
But things have changed.
Now we have to relearn how work is done.
Creativity, fast thinking, bias for action and the ability to communicate are all essentials in the new fastpaced global economy.
You don't need to do it all yourself - in fact, you shouldn't. But you do need to communicate to others what you can't or won't do and partner with those who understand what you (your business) needs and can provide the skills and abilities you can't.
Maybe you will have a one-man or one-woman operation outsourcing your work to those Indian and Chinese employees. Maybe you will have just a few employees in the US and Europe all connected by the internet videoconferencing by web, cell phone and iPod or similar devices with your manufacturing or research or software development center in Shanghai, New Delhi or Beijing.
Now is the perfect time to figure out what makes you the happiest doing and creates the highest profit.
For more details about how you can choose to be self-employed and receive a good living go to http://how2getrich.bravehost.com/worklive1.html
The biggest change in how we perceive work lies in our own minds. That's also the location to all of our barriers to being successfully self-employed.
We need to learn to think "outside the box." The box is the way we have learned to think and work from birth. We have to rethink all our biases and opinions about working and discover ways of releasing our creativity.
The world is filled with abundance and there is enough to go around for everyone.Don't believe in the old dogmatic lies of the industrial revolution. Your financial security depends on your ability to find out what makes you the happiest and then identifying a path within that field that will make you financially independent. Your financial security does not depend on some company that gives you a paycheck a couple of times a month.
Your financial security depends on your ability to take an idea germinated in your own mind and then nurturing that idea into a profitable enterprise for yourself.
Yes, that requires work, courage and a whole new way of thinking. But we have no other choice.
We can perceive the advent of the global economy as a great threat or we can perceive it as extraordinarily liberating.
It's all just a choice - a perception.
Choose to be free. Start your own home-based business.
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